DiamondRock just guided 2026 adjusted FFO to $1.12-$1.18 per share against a FactSet consensus of $0.89, and the gap says less about the company's performance than it does about how poorly the Street was tracking a portfolio that quietly repositioned itself over two years.
DiamondRock dumps a 189-room Manhattan leasehold at a 13.3% trailing cap rate and cuts full-year guidance by $5.9 million. The stock slide tells you less about the deal than about what investors think comes next.
A 13.3% trailing cap rate on a Manhattan hotel sale doesn't signal distress. It signals a REIT that ran the numbers on $12 million in deferred capex, a ground lease escalation, and July union negotiations, and decided someone else could hold that bag.
Manhattan RevPAR climbed 7.1% in the first half of 2025 while outer borough segments dropped up to 4.4%. Same city, two completely different P&Ls.
A man rented a single room at a major Manhattan hotel, exploited an obscure housing law, forged a deed claiming ownership of the entire property, and nobody stopped him for half a decade. If you think this can't happen to you, you're not paying attention.
