CICC just slapped an Outperform rating on Airbnb with a $165 target, and Airbnb is pushing hard to loosen New York City's short-term rental crackdown before the 2026 World Cup floods the market with demand. The question for hotel operators isn't whether Airbnb succeeds... it's what happens to your rates either way.
New York City just refused to lift its short-term rental restrictions for the FIFA World Cup, removing roughly 20,000 Airbnb listings from the supply equation during the biggest event the city has hosted in decades. If you're running a hotel in the metro area and you haven't repriced your June and July inventory yet, someone else already has.
Manhattan RevPAR climbed 7.1% in the first half of 2025 while outer borough segments dropped up to 4.4%. Same city, two completely different P&Ls.
